RT Conference Proceedings T1 Mathematical Modeling, Analysis and Simulation of COVID Transmission Epidemy under Intensive Care Units Control Strategy Using Qualitative Causal Diagrams. A1 Fernández-de-Cañete-Rodríguez, Francisco Javier A1 Samper, Isabel A1 García-Moral, Inmaculada K1 COVID-19 - Modelos matemáticos K1 Unidades de cuidados intensivos AB The pandemic situation caused by COVID-19 has been one of the greatest problems faced bythe world population in recent years. The use of mathematical models and computer simulationtechniques have become very important in the study of the spread of infectious diseases. In thispaper, a qualitative model of a proportional-integral-derivative (PID) control system forintensive care unit (ICU) beds occupancy in a COVID-19 epidemic situation was performed toprevent ICUs from saturation. A SIR-type (Susceptible/Infected/Recovered) qualitative modelbased on the causal influence diagrams is used to describe the dynamics of the pandemicadjusted to the behavior in space and time of COVID-19. The proposed control system used thedemanded quantity of ICU beds as feedback signal to generate a decision policy as controlaction and simulation results show the practical feasibility and good performance of theproposed control system to prevent from collapse of ICUs based on social distancing andconfinement. YR 2024 FD 2024 LK https://hdl.handle.net/10630/32012 UL https://hdl.handle.net/10630/32012 LA eng NO Universidad de Málaga. Campus de Excelencia Internacional Andalucía Tech DS RIUMA. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Málaga RD 19 ene 2026