RT Journal Article
T1 Fuzzy sets allow gaging the extent and rate of species range shift due to climate change.
A1 Chamorro, Darío
A1 Real-Giménez, Raimundo
A1 Muñoz-Gallego, Antonio Román
K1 Aves - Distribución geográfica
K1 Conjuntos difusos
AB The recent modification of species distribution ranges in response to a warmer climate has constituted a major and generalized biogeographic change. The main driver of the shift in distribution is the disequilibrium of the species ranges with their climatic favourability. Most species distribution modelling approaches assume equilibrium of the distribution with the environment, which hinders their applicability to the analysis of this change. Using fuzzy set theory we assessed the response to climate change of a historically African species, the Atlas Long-legged Buzzard. With this approach we were able to quantify that the Buzzard’s distribution is in a latitudinal disequilibrium of the species distribution with the current climate of 4 km, which is driving the species range northwards at a speed of around 1.3 km/year, i.e., it takes 3 years for the species to occupy new climatically favourable areas. This speed is expected to decelerate to 0.5 km/year in 2060–2080.
PB Springer Nature
YR 2020
FD 2020-10-01
LK https://hdl.handle.net/10630/30395
UL https://hdl.handle.net/10630/30395
LA eng
NO CHAMORRO, D. REAL, R. & MUÑOZ, A.R. 2020. Fuzzy sets allow gaging the extent and rate of species range shift due to climate change. Scientific Reports 10: Article number 16272
NO CC BY
DS RIUMA. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Málaga
RD 19 ene 2026