RT Journal Article T1 The effect of early automation on the wage distribution with endogenous occupational choices A1 Hidalgo-Pérez, Manuel A. A1 Molinari, Benedetto K1 Automatización AB While the literature demonstrated that automation reduces employment in routine jobs (job polarization), its impact on wages is still unclear and the debate open. By applying Counterfactual Quantile Regressions to historical data, this paper analyzes the channels through which automation affected wage inequality in the U.S. labor market during the 1990s. Contrary to conventional wisdom, we find that the observed decline in wage inequality among low earners was not due to lower prices paid for technology-substitute occupational tasks, but instead due to more homogeneous wages of workers performing these tasks. This evidence is consistent with a model of directed (routine-biased) technical change in which skill-heterogeneous workers face endogenous occupational choices and learning costs in connection with operating new technology. In this model, directed technical change reduces wage inequality among low earners by shrinking the skill distribution of routine workers, thus making their wages more homogenous as observed in data. PB Springer YR 2022 FD 2022-06-23 LK https://hdl.handle.net/10630/24690 UL https://hdl.handle.net/10630/24690 LA eng NO Hidalgo-Pérez, M.A., Molinari, B. The effect of early automation on the wage distribution with endogenous occupational choices. Econ Polit (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s40888-022-00272-w NO Open Access funding provided thanks to the CRUE-CSIC agreement with Springer Nature. Funding for open access charge: Universidad de Málaga / CBUA. This study was funded by grant PID2019-107161GB-C31 (Ministerio de Ciencias e Innovación, Gobierno de España) and grant ECO2013-43526-R (Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad, Gobierno de España). DS RIUMA. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Málaga RD 20 ene 2026