RT Journal Article T1 The high climate vulnerability of western Mediterranean forests A1 Hidalgo-Triana, Noelia A1 Solakis Tena, Andros A1 Casimiro-Soriguer Solanas, Federico A1 Choe, Hyeyeong A1 Navarro-del-Águila, María Teresa A1 Pérez-Latorre, Andrés Vicente A1 Thorne, James H. K1 Clima - Cambios - Aspectos ambientales K1 Bosques K1 Vegetación y clima K1 Plantas - Efectos del calentamiento global K1 Mediterráneo (Región) - Clima K1 Andalucía AB Understanding the effects of climate change is one of the most challenging goals for biodiversity conservation. The forests of Andalusia, in Southern Spain, are part of an important Mediterranean Basin biodiversity hotspot. However, great changes in climate are expected to occur in this region, and there is an increasing need to assess the vulnerability of its vegetation. We assess the vulnerability of twelve forest types in the region that are included in the European Directive 92/43/EEC as Habitats of Community Interest (HCI). HCI are natural habitat types which are in danger, have a small natural range, or present an outstanding example of a biogeographical regions in the European Union. We assessed vulnerability by analyzing the climate exposure level of each forest type under two global climate models [...], two emission scenarios [...] by the mid- and end-century time periods. The vulnerability analysis also includes the sensitivity and adaptive capacity of the dominant tree species which compose each forest type. An overall vulnerability score was calculated for each forest type, model, scenario and time period. [...] However, the effects of climate change will be perceptible by the mid-century, with most of the HCI forest types suffering climate stress. The “Andalusian oak forest” and the “Corylus wet forest” types were the most vulnerable to climate change, while the “Mediterranean pine forest”, the “Olea and Ceratonia forests” and the “oak forests” were the least vulnerable. This assessment identifies the vulnerable forest types to climate change in the south of the Iberian Peninsula, and provides context for natural resource managers in making decisions about how to adapt forests to the impacts of climate change. PB Elsevier YR 2023 FD 2023-06 LK https://hdl.handle.net/10630/27195 UL https://hdl.handle.net/10630/27195 LA eng NO Hidalgo-Triana, N., Solakis, A., Casimiro-Soriguer, F., Choe, H., Navarro, T., Pérez-Latorre, A. V., & Thorne, J. H. (2023). The high climate vulnerability of western Mediterranean forests. Science of The Total Environment, 895, 164983. NO Incluye un apéndice con un fichero de datos complementarios. NO This study was partially supported by the European Project (FEDER) through the Ministry for Science and Innovation 2014–2020 LIFEWATCH-2019-UMA-01 “EnBiC2-Lab”. University of Málaga (“I Plan Propio de Investigación, Transferencia y Divulgación Científica de la Universidad de Málaga”) funded a research stay at the University of Davis (California, USA). Funding for open access charge: Universidad de Málaga / CBUA. DS RIUMA. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Málaga RD 21 ene 2026