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      <dc:title>Forecasting distributions and competitive interactions for european vipers</dc:title>
      <dc:creator>Chamorro Sierra, Dario</dc:creator>
      <dc:creator>Muñoz-Gallego, Antonio Román</dc:creator>
      <dc:creator>Real-Giménez, Raimundo</dc:creator>
      <dc:creator>Martínez-Freiría, Fernando</dc:creator>
      <dc:subject>Víboras-Europa</dc:subject>
      <dc:description>European vipers (Vipera) show parapatric distributions as result of distinct evolutionary trajectories and&#xd;
specific ecological requirements. Competitive interactions among species at range margins play an important&#xd;
role in the sustainment of distributional patterns. Taking into account the competition between species in a&#xd;
heterogeneous climate along their distribution areas, three biogeographical cases are predicted to happen: 1)&#xd;
autoecological segregation, when a low favorable climate is stronger than biological interactions; 2) sympatric&#xd;
coexistence, when an optimal climate for both species provides high abundance of resources, minimizing the&#xd;
effect of competitive interactions; and 3) sinecological segregation, when in sub-optimal areas, one species,&#xd;
better adapted to this conditions, could exclude the other by competition. Fuzzy logic distribution models&#xd;
provide a useful framework to analyze and identify these interactions. Using a presence/absence matrix for five&#xd;
western vipers (V. aspis, V. berus, V. lataste and V. seoanei) and a set of climate variables at ~10x10 km&#xd;
resolution, we studied species favorability for current and future climate scenarios. Regions of overlap between&#xd;
species pairs were analyzed to identify the three biogeographical cases in both periods of time. Results&#xd;
emphasize the generalist character of V. aspis, with a predicted range largest than the currently observed, and the&#xd;
strong competitive character of V. berus, V. latastei and V. seoanei at range margins, which might be limiting the&#xd;
expansion of the former species. Despite a high uncertainty in our predictions, future favorable areas are&#xd;
restricted to coastal and mountain regions, which is translated into important changes in species interactions.</dc:description>
      <dc:date>2019-09-19T10:40:16Z</dc:date>
      <dc:date>2019-09-19T10:40:16Z</dc:date>
      <dc:date>2019</dc:date>
      <dc:date>2019-09-19</dc:date>
      <dc:type>conference output</dc:type>
      <dc:identifier>https://hdl.handle.net/10630/18407</dc:identifier>
      <dc:language>eng</dc:language>
      <dc:relation>XX European Congress of herpetology</dc:relation>
      <dc:relation>Milán (Italia)</dc:relation>
      <dc:relation>2-6 Septiembre 2019</dc:relation>
      <dc:rights>open access</dc:rights>
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