2026-05-30T07:06:39Zhttps://riuma.uma.es/rest/oai/requestoai:riuma.uma.es:10630/409432026-02-03T11:13:36Zcom_10630_2254col_10630_37953
RIUMA. Repositorio Institucional de la Universidad de Málaga
author
Solakis Tena, Andros
author
Casimiro-Soriguer Solanas, Federico
author
Hidalgo-Triana, Noelia
2025-11-28T10:40:05Z
2025-11-28T10:40:05Z
2025
Andros Solakis-Tena, Federico Casimiro-Soriguer Solanas, Noelia Hidalgo-Triana, Retrospective phenology in western Mediterranean plants: revealing climate change patterns through herbarium specimens, AoB PLANTS, Volume 17, Issue 6, December 2025, plaf064, https://doi.org/10.1093/aobpla/plaf064
https://hdl.handle.net/10630/40943
10.1093/aobpla/plaf064
Herbarium specimens have proven useful for assessing phenological responses to climate change. Using preserved specimens, we
analysed the changes in day of year (DOY) for four phenophases: three reproductive (preflowering, flowering, fruiting) and one vegetative
(growth). We conducted phenological analysis across bioclimatic belts (thermotypes) from the Rivas–Martinez classification and across 77
taxa present in the Baetic Ranges of the southern Iberian Peninsula. Taxa were characteristic, common, or endemic species from Habitats of
Community Interest (HCI) under the European Directive 92/43/EEC. Phenological shifts were assessed using two approaches: long-term
trends in DOY with time and relationships with historical climate variables related to temperature and precipitation. At the thermotypes level,
flowering advanced consistently over time and with increasing temperatures, showing homogeneous responses and suggesting a weakening
of altitudinal differentiation. In contrast, growth exhibited thermotype-specific trends, with stronger advances at high elevations, while
preflowering and fruiting showed little or no sensitivity to time or climate variables. At the species level, 31% of taxa showed phenological
changes over time in the Baetic Ranges (−3.6 days/decade for reproductive and −5.6 days/decade for vegetative phenophases). However,
97% of taxa showed significant relationships with increasing temperatures and decreasing precipitation, particularly with mean annual
temperature (−12.7 days for reproductive and −14.3 days for vegetative phenophases per increased °C). These phenological changes could
hinder reproductive and vegetative success by causing mismatches with other ecosystem role-players. As the Mediterranean is expected to
become warmer and drier, our findings indicate a potential threat to HCI in the southern Mediterranean.
eng
Atribución 4.0 Internacional
floración
fructificación
calentamiento global
Plantas -- Crecimiento
Retrospective phenology in western Mediterranean plants: revealing climate change patterns through herbarium specimens
journal article
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Retrospective phenology in western Mediterranean.pdf