Listar por autor "Mauerer, Ingrid Doris"
Mostrando ítems 1-15 de 15
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Die Schätzung von Wählerwanderungen zwischen den Bundestagswahlen 2013–2017 mithilfe von Online-Paneldaten und Aggregatdaten in Hybridmodellen
(Springer, 2021-10)Die elektorale Volatilität zwischen den Bundestagswahlen (BTW) 2013 und 2017 ist die höchste seit 1953 (vgl. Emanuele 2015). Gerade bei so außergewöhnlichen Dynamiken, die zudem zu strukturellen Veränderungen von ... -
Die Universitätsstudie Bayernwahl 2018 (USBW18): Design und ermittelte Wählerwanderungen.
(Springer Nature, 2023-08)Die bayerische Landtagswahl 2018 war durch ein hohes Maß an Wählervolatilität geprägt. Jedoch konnte nicht nur die AfD Stimmen hinzugewinnen, auch den Grünen ist es gelungen, 2018 Wähler anderer Parteien für sich zu gewinnen. ... -
Explaining preferences for EU integration: Theory and empirical evidence
Mauerer, Ingrid Doris; Puy-Segura, María Socorro
; Urzay-Gómez, Sergi (Elsevier, 2025-05-05)
We present and empirically test a model that explains how European citizens form their preferences for integration, which is crucial for understanding the public support for EU advancement. The model incorporates varying ... -
Heterogeneity in general multinomial choice models
(2022-05-25)Different voters behave differently at the polls, different students make different university choices, or different countries choose different health care systems. Many research questions important to social scientists ... -
Integrating Large-Scale Online Surveys and Aggregate Data at the Constituency Level: The Estimation of Voter Transitions in the 2015 British General Elections.
(European Survey Research Association, 2020-09-25)What have been the underlying voter shifts that led to the victory of the Con-servative Party in the 2015 British general election – against all predictions bypollsters? Analyses of voter transitions based on (online) ... -
Micromotives of Vote Switchers and Macrotransitions: The Case of the Immigration Issue in a Regional Earthquake Election in Germany 2018
(Springer, 2022-07-26)Which issue-related motives underlie voters’ decision to switch parties at the polls? Do switchers stick to the newly chosen party, or do they oscillate in a short-term way at intermediate elections? Relying on the behavioral ... -
Modeling Electoral Choices in Multiparty Systems with High-Dimensional Data: A Regularized Selection of Parameters Using the Lasso Approach.
(Elsevier, 2015-10-06)The increased usage of discrete choice models in the analysis of multiparty elections faces one severe challenge: the proliferation of parameters, resulting in high-dimensional and difficult-to-interpret models. For example, ... -
Perceived Party Placements and Uncertainty on Immigration in the 2017 German Election.
(Springer Nature, 2019-01-31)Almost all national election studies contain policy scales that are intended to measure where respondents perceive parties or candidates on central campaign issues. These placements form the basis for models of survey ... -
Rational Voting Behaviour Accounting for Heterogeneous Ballots in British Elections.
(Sage, 2024-10-03)The most analysed choice situation by electoral researchers is at the ballot box. In partially contested elections, such as in Britain or Spain, voters cannot vote for all parties in every region or constituency. We present ... -
Replication Data for: Rational Voting Behavior Accounting for Heterogeneous Ballots in British Elections.
(Harvard Dataverse, 2024)The most analyzed choice situation by electoral researchers is at the ballot box. In partially-contested elections, such as in Britain or Spain, voters cannot vote for all parties in every region or constituency. We present ... -
Replication Data for: The Neglected Role and Variability of Party Intercepts in the Spatial Valence Approach.
(Political Analysis Dataverse (Cambridge University Press), 2019) -
Replication Data for: Vote Choices and Valence: Intercepts and Alternate Specifications.
(Political Analysis Dataverse (Cambridge University Press), 2023)Valence is a crucial concept in studying spatial voting and party competition. The widely adopted approach is to rely on intercepts of vote choice models and to infer, based on their size and direction, how valence affects ... -
The Neglected Role and Variability of Party Intercepts in the Spatial Valence Approach
(Cambridge University Press, 2020-01-07)Empirical applications of the spatial theory of elections typically rely on the discrete choice framework to arrive at probabilistic voting models. Whereas in the classic model voter choice is solely a function of spatial ... -
Under Which Conditions Do Parties Attract Voters’ Reactions to Issues? Party-Varying Issue Voting in German Elections 1987-2009
(Taylor & Francis, 2015-04-24)Are voters’ choices influenced by parties’ position-taking and communication efforts on issues during a campaign? And if so, do voters’ reactions to issues differ across parties? This article outlines a research design for ... -
Vote choices and valence: intercepts and alternate specifications
(Cambridge University Press, 2024-01-18)Valence is a crucial concept in studying spatial voting and party competition. The widely adopted approach is to rely on intercepts of vote choice models and to infer, based on their size and direction, how valence affects ...