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dc.contributor.authorMoreno-Navas, Juan
dc.contributor.authorPulido, Ángel
dc.contributor.authorCalero Quesada, María Concepción
dc.contributor.authorGarcía, Rodrigo
dc.contributor.authorDelgado-Cabello, Javier 
dc.contributor.authorGarcía-Lafuente, Jesús 
dc.contributor.authorGarcía, Rodrigo
dc.date.accessioned2018-10-01T12:13:28Z
dc.date.available2018-10-01T12:13:28Z
dc.date.created2018
dc.date.issued2018-10-01
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/10630/16556
dc.description.abstractSea level rise and extreme climatic events are predicted to increase in frequency and magnitude as a consequence of global warming but their socio-ecological effects are poorly understood. The climatic events are most likely to affect worldwide in forthcoming decades and a further understanding how these climatic and global warming disturbances drive changes in the Guadalquivir Estuary is needed. The Guadalquivir Estuary has been anthropologically modified throughout the last centuries. Now, there is no salt marshes, the river is bounded by embankments to protect rice and cotton plantations, the meanders have been transformed into straight channels and the Port of Seville, as part of Europe’s strategic priority transport network, periodically dredge the main navigation channel. A hydrodynamic model has been developed to hindcast a severe storm event that hit the estuary by conducting paired control and climate events. To simulate the effects of increased sea level the mean tidal level in the model was raised. The changes in the local wind, atmospheric pressure and sea level conditions have been studied in detail and several scenarios are obtained by running the model under control and real conditions. The model output has been validated with in situ water elevation and good agreement between modelled and real measurements have been obtained. Our preliminary results show that the model demonstrated the capability of describe a tide-surge and future water levels rise in the estuary, opening the possibility to study the interaction between climatic events and global warming impacts on port operations and food production activities. The hydrodynamic model provide spatially explicit information on the key variables governing the tide dynamics of estuarine areas under severe climatic and sea level rise scenarios and it will be a powerful tool in future climate change mitigation and adaptation programs.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipUniversidad de Málaga. Campus de Excelencia Internacional Andalucía Tech. Autoridad Portuaria de Sevillaen_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/*
dc.subjectCambios climáticosen_US
dc.subject.otherGuadalquivir estuaryen_US
dc.subject.otherExtreme climatic eventsen_US
dc.subject.otherModellingen_US
dc.titleModelling sea level rise and extreme climatic events in Guadalquivir estuary (Spain).en_US
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObjecten_US
dc.relation.eventtitleECSA 57: Changing estuaries, coasts and shelf systems - Diverse threats and opportunitiesen_US
dc.relation.eventplacePerthen_US
dc.relation.eventdateSeptiembre 2018en_US
dc.rights.ccAtribución 4.0 Internacional*


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